Optimized precooling of structures
US-9625171-B2 · Apr 18, 2017 · US
US9910449B2 · US · B2
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Publication number | US-9910449-B2 |
| Application number | US-201313866602-A |
| Country | US |
| Kind code | B2 |
| Filing date | Apr 19, 2013 |
| Priority date | Apr 19, 2013 |
| Publication date | Mar 6, 2018 |
| Grant date | Mar 6, 2018 |
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Thermostats disclosed herein are operable to control an HVAC system. In controlling the HVAC system, a need to determine an expected indoor temperature profile for a particular schedule of setpoint temperatures may arise. To make such a determination, a thermodynamic model of the structure is used. The thermodynamic model may be generated by fitting weighting factors of a set of basis functions to a variety of historical data including time information, temperature information, and HVAC actuation state information. The set of basis functions characterize an indoor temperature trajectory of the structure in response to a change in HVAC actuation state, and include an inertial carryover component that characterizes a carryover of a rate of indoor temperature change that was occurring immediately prior to the change in actuation state.
Opening claim text (preview).
What is claimed is: 1. A thermostat for controlling a heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) system in a structure, the thermostat comprising: HVAC control circuitry operable to actuate one or more elements of the HVAC system; a communications component; one or more sensors for measuring characteristics of the structure; and a processor coupled to the HVAC control circuitry and the one or more sensors that is configured to perform operations including: storing temperature information from the one or more sensors and time stamps for the temperature information; causing the HVAC control circuitry to actuate an HVAC function to transition a temperature inside the structure from a first temperature to a second temperature; populating a thermodynamic model that predicts a temperature trajectory of the temperature of the air inside the structure in response to actuation of the HVAC function, wherein: the thermodynamic model comprises a plurality of basis functions that together characterize the temperature trajectory of the air inside the structure in response to the actuation of the HVAC function; the thermodynamic model comprises a plurality of weighting factors corresponding to the plurality of basis functions; and the plurality of basis functions comprises a basis function comprising an expression that models an effect of a rate of temperature change that was occurring in the structure prior to actuating the HVAC function and which exponentially decays from a time that the HVAC function is actuated until a time when steady-state activity overcomes early-cycle activity; fitting the plurality of weighting factors of the thermodynamic model to a portion of the temperature information and time stamps for the temperature information corresponding to times when the HVAC function was actuated; and predicting the temperature trajectory of the air inside the structure using the thermodynamic model. 2. The thermostat of claim 1 , wherein the processor is further configured to create the thermodynamic model where the plurality of basis functions further comprises a basis function for a current stage effect component that characterizes an effect that a current stage has on the temperature trajectory of the air inside the structure. 3. The thermostat of claim 2 , wherein the processor is further configured to create the thermodynamic model where the current stage effect component begins at zero, reaches a maximum after a certain period of time, and diminishes thereafter. 4. The thermostat of claim 1 , wherein the processor is further configured to fit the plurality of weighting factors using weather forecast and a clock signal received through the communications component. 5. The thermostat of claim 1 , wherein the processor is further configured to cause the HVAC control circuitry to actuate the HVAC function by switching the HVAC function from a first state characterized by a relatively low energy consumption, to a second state characterized by a relatively high energy consumption. 6. The thermostat of claim 1 , wherein the expression used by the processor that models the effect of the rate of temperature change that was occurring in the structure prior to actuating the HVAC function comprises: ( 1 - 1 1 + e - γ ( t cycle - t steady - state ) ) · r ; wherein r represents the rate of temperature change that was occurring in the structure prior to actuating the HVAC function; wherein γ represents a constant value; wherein t cycle represent a time elapsed since actuating the HVAC function; and wherein t steady-state represents a time. 7. The thermostat of claim 6 , wherein the processor is further configured to create the thermodynamic model where the current stage effect component begins at zero, reaches a maximum at 2×t steady-state , and diminishes thereafter. 8. The thermostat of claim 1 , wherein the plurality of basis functions further comprises a basis function characterizing an effect of a difference between an outdoor temperature and an indoor temperature. 9. The thermostat of claim 1 , wherein the operations the processor is configured to perform further include estimating a temperature of the structure by: setting an initial temperature of the structure to an indoor temperature at a first time; and for each of a plurality of times after the first time, determining the temperature of the structure as a weighted combination of a previous indoor temperature and a previous outdoor temperature. 10. The thermostat of claim 1 , the wherein the plurality of basis functions further comprises a basis function characterizing an effect of a difference in a temperature of the structure and an indoor temperature. 11. The thermostat of claim 1 , wherein the plurality of basis functions further comprises a basis function characterizing an effect of a time-of-day approximating an effect of sunlight. 12. The thermostat of claim 11 , wherein the basis function characterizing the effect of the time-of-day approximating the effect of sunlight comprises a sinusoidal term having a period of 24 hours. 13. The thermostat of claim 1 , wherein the plurality of basis functions further comprises a basis function comprising a constant representing energy changes not affected by environmental factors. 14. The thermostat of claim 1 , wherein the operations the processor is configured to perform further include: using a required level of specificity for the thermodynamic model. 15. The thermostat of claim 14 , wherein the operations the processor is configured to perform further include: searching a plurality of existing thermodynamic models for one or more candidate thermodynamic models that satisfy the required level of specificity for the thermodynamic model. 16. The thermostat of claim 15 , wherein creating the thermodynamic model that predicts the temperature trajectory of the air inside the structure in response to the actuation of the HVAC function comprises: failing to identify one or more candidate models; and in response to failing to identify the one or more candidate models, generating the thermodynamic mo
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