Adaptive Traffic Dynamics Prediction
US-2015228188-A1 · Aug 13, 2015 · US
US9761133B2 · US · B2
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Publication number | US-9761133-B2 |
| Application number | US-201514751682-A |
| Country | US |
| Kind code | B2 |
| Filing date | Jun 26, 2015 |
| Priority date | Jun 26, 2015 |
| Publication date | Sep 12, 2017 |
| Grant date | Sep 12, 2017 |
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A method comprising determining speed-time cluster application histogram data set for a link segment that comprises a plurality of speed-time cluster application histogram data elements, each speed-time cluster application histogram data element identifying a speed-time cluster and an applicable duration of the speed-time cluster for the link segment throughout a histogram duration, for each speed-time cluster application histogram data element, determining a free-flow speed that is representative of a non-congestion speed indicated by the speed-time cluster, determining a historically normalized free-flow speed for the link segment that is a weighted average of the free-flow speed determined for each speed-time cluster application histogram data element weighted by the applicable duration of the speed-time cluster application histogram data element, and identifying a transit speed of the link segment as being the historically normalized free-flow speed is disclosed.
Opening claim text (preview).
What is claimed is: 1. An apparatus, comprising: at least one processor; at least one memory including computer program code, the memory and the computer program code configured to, working with the processor, cause the apparatus to perform at least the following: receiving probe data collected by one or more sensors; determining, from the probe data, a speed-time cluster application histogram data set for a link segment that comprises a plurality of speed-time cluster application histogram data elements, each speed-time cluster application histogram data element identifying a speed-time cluster and an applicable duration of the speed-time cluster for the link segment throughout a histogram duration; for each speed-time cluster application histogram data element, determining a free-flow speed that is representative of a non-congestion speed indicated by the speed-time cluster; calculating, by a processor, a historically normalized free-flow speed for the link segment that is a weighted average of the free-flow speed determined for each speed-time cluster application histogram data element weighted by the applicable duration of the speed-time cluster application histogram data element; calculating, by the processor, a predicted transit speed of the link segment as being the historically normalized free-flow speed; and providing the predicted transit speed to a map or a navigation system. 2. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein a link segment is at least a portion of at least one of a route, a lane, a road, a highway, a street, a trail, or a thoroughfare. 3. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the determining the speed-time cluster application histogram data set comprises: receiving probe data indicative of speed of travel along the link segment; identifying an applicable speed-time cluster associated with the link segment that is applicable to the probe data; determining an applicable duration throughout the histogram duration in which the applicable speed-time cluster is applicable to the probe data; and determining a speed-time cluster application histogram data element of the speed-time cluster application histogram data set that indicates the applicable speed-time cluster and the applicable duration. 4. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the determining the free-flow speed comprises: identifying of portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of non-congestion; and determining the free-flow speed based on a speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of non-congestion. 5. The apparatus of claim 4 , wherein the determining the free-flow speed based on the speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster omits portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of congestion. 6. The apparatus of claim 4 , wherein the determining the free-flow speed based on the speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster comprises determining the free-flow speed based on a maximum speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of non-congestion. 7. The apparatus of claim 4 , wherein the determining the free-flow speed based on the speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster comprises determining the free-flow speed based on a percentage of a maximum speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of non-congestion. 8. The apparatus of claim 7 , wherein the percentage is between 80 percent and 90 percent. 9. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the memory includes computer program code configured to, working with the processor, cause the apparatus to perform: determining that the link segment is geospatially associated with a set of link segments; and identifying a transit speed of the set of link segments as being the historically normalized free-flow speed. 10. A method comprising: determining speed-time cluster application histogram data set for a link segment that comprises a plurality of speed-time cluster application histogram data elements, each speed-time cluster application histogram data element identifying a speed-time cluster and an applicable duration of the speed-time cluster for the link segment throughout a histogram duration; for each speed-time cluster application histogram data element, determining a free-flow speed that is representative of a non-congestion speed indicated by the speed-time cluster; determining a historically normalized free-flow speed for the link segment that is a weighted average of the free-flow speed determined for each speed-time cluster application histogram data element weighted by the applicable duration of the speed-time cluster application histogram data element; calculating a predicted transit speed of the link segment as being the historically normalized free-flow speed; and providing the predicted transit speed to a map or a navigation system. 11. The method of claim 10 , wherein the determining the speed-time cluster application histogram data set comprises: receiving probe data indicative of speed of travel along the link segment; identifying an applicable speed-time cluster associated with the link segment that is applicable to the probe data; determining an applicable duration throughout the histogram duration in which the applicable speed-time cluster is applicable to the probe data; and determining a speed-time cluster application histogram data element of the speed-time cluster application histogram data set that indicates the applicable speed-time cluster and the applicable duration. 12. The method of claim 10 , wherein the determining the free-flow speed comprises: identifying portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of non-congestion; and determining the free-flow speed based on a speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of non-congestion. 13. The method of claim 12 , wherein the determining the free-flow speed based on the speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster omits portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of congestion. 14. The method of claim 12 , wherein the determining the free-flow speed based on the speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster comprises determining the free-flow speed based on a maximum speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of non-congestion. 15. The method of claim 12 , wherein the determining the free-flow speed based on the speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster comprises determining the free-flow speed based on a percentage of a maximum speed indicated by the identified portions of the speed-time cluster that are indicative of non-congestion. 16. The method of claim 10 , further comprising: determining that the link segment is geospatially associated with a set of link segments; and identifying a transit speed of the set of link segments as being the historically normalized free-flow speed. 17. At least one non-transitory computer-readable medium encoded with instructions that, when executed by a processor, perform: determining a speed-time cluster application histogram data set for a link segment that comprises a plurality of speed-time cluster application histogram data elements, each speed-time cluster application histogram data element identifying a speed-time cluster and an applicable duration of the speed-time cluster for the link segment throughout a his
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