Electricity demand prediction system

Patent metadata

Field	Value
Publication number	US-9727931-B2
Application number	US-201214374986-A
Country	US
Kind code	B2
Filing date	Feb 14, 2012
Priority date	Feb 14, 2012
Publication date	Aug 8, 2017
Grant date	Aug 8, 2017

Abstract

An electricity demand prediction system includes electricity usage data collection means, production schedule storage means, model creation means, and short-term electricity demand prediction means. The electricity usage data collection means collects electricity usage data of each device and causes electricity usage data storage means to store the collected electricity usage data. The model creation means creates an electricity amount calculation model of each prescribed product type for each device on the basis of the electricity usage data stored in the electricity usage data storage means and a past production schedule stored in the production schedule storage means. The short-term electricity demand prediction means computes future electricity demand for each device on the basis of the electricity amount calculation model created by the model creation means and a future production schedule stored in the production schedule storage means.

First claim

The invention claimed is:

1. An electricity demand prediction system which is applied to an industrial plant including a plurality of devices, comprising:
a first collection device for collecting electricity usage data of each of the devices and causing first storage device to store the collected electricity usage data;
a second storage device in which a production schedule in the industrial plant is stored;
a model creation device for creating an electricity amount calculation model of each prescribed product type for each of the devices based on the electricity usage data stored in the first storage device and a past production schedule stored in the second storage device;
a first prediction device for computing future electricity demand for each of the devices based on the electricity amount calculation model created by the model creation device and a future production schedule stored in the second storage device and for adding up the computed future electricity demand of each of the devices to compute future electricity demand of the industrial plant;
a second collection device for collecting electricity usage data of the industrial plant and causing third storage device to store the collected electricity usage data;
a second prediction device for computing future electricity demand of the industrial plant based on the electricity usage data stored in the third storage device; and
a third prediction device for computing future electricity demand of the industrial plant for a prescribed first period based on the electricity demand of the industrial plant computed by the first prediction device and the electricity demand of the industrial plant computed by the second prediction device and for computing future electricity demand of the industrial plant for a prescribed second period later than the prescribed first period based on the electricity demand of the industrial plant computed by the second prediction device without using the electricity demand of the industrial plant computed by the first prediction device, wherein the electricity demand prediction system reduces an amount of electricity by applying the future electricity demand computed for the prescribed first and second periods.

2. The electricity demand prediction system according to claim 1 , wherein
the industrial plant comprises a plurality of facilities,
each of the facilities comprises a plurality of the devices, and
the first prediction device comprises:
first computation device for computing future electricity demand for each of the devices based on the electricity amount calculation model created by the model creation device and the future production schedule stored in the second storage device;
second computation device for computing future electricity demand for each of the facilities by adding up the electricity demand computed by the first computation device for the devices provided in the facilities; and
third computation device for computing future electricity demand of the industrial plant by adding up the electricity demand for each of the facilities computed by the second computation device.

3. The electricity demand prediction system according to claim 2 , further comprising:
a display device for displaying the electricity demand of the industrial plant computed by the third prediction device.

4. The electricity demand prediction system according to claim 1 , further comprising:
a display device for displaying the electricity demand of the industrial plant computed by the third prediction device.

5. The electricity demand prediction system according to claim 1 , further comprising:
an operation information acquisition device for acquiring present operation information in the industrial plant,
wherein the first prediction device computes present electricity usage for each of the devices based on the operation information acquired by the operation information acquisition device and the electricity amount calculation model created by the model creation device, and computes electricity demand for each of the devices also in consideration of the computed present electricity usage.

6. An electricity demand prediction system which is applied to an industrial plant including a plurality of facilities, each of the facilities including a plurality of devices, comprising:
a first collection device for collecting electricity usage data of each of the devices and causing first storage device to store the collected electricity usage data;
a second storage device in which a production schedule in the industrial plant is stored;
a model creation device for creating an electricity amount calculation model of each prescribed product type for each of the devices based on the electricity usage data stored in the first storage device and a past production schedule stored in the second storage device;
a first prediction device for computing future electricity demand for each of the devices based on the electricity amount calculation model created by the model creation device and a future production schedule stored in the second storage device, the first prediction device comprising:
first computation device for computing future electricity demand for each of the devices based on the electricity amount calculation model created by the model creation device and the future production schedule stored in the second storage device;
second computation device for computing future electricity demand for each of the facilities by adding up the electricity demand computed by the first computation device for the devices provided in the facilities; and
third computation device for computing future electricity demand of the industrial plant by adding up the electricity demand for each of the facilities computed by the second computation device;

a second collection device for collecting electricity usage data of the industrial plant and causing a third storage device to store the collected electricity usage data;
a second prediction device for computing future electricity demand of the industrial plant based on the electricity usage data stored in the third storage device; and
a third prediction device for computing future electricity demand of the industrial plant for a prescribed first period based on the electricity′ demand of the industrial plant computed by the first prediction device and the electricity demand of the industrial plant computed by the second prediction device and for computing future electricity demand of the industrial plant for a prescribed second period later than the prescribed first period based on the electricity demand of the industrial plant computed by the second prediction device without using the electricity demand of the industrial plant computed by the first prediction device, wherein the electricity demand prediction system reduces an amount of electricity by applying the future electricity demand computed for the prescribed first and second periods.

Assignees

• Kubota Kei
• Imanari Hiroyuki
• Toshiba Mitsubishi Electric Industrial Systems Corp

Inventors

• Kubota Kei
• Imanari Hiroyuki

Classifications

• H02J3/004

  Generation forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future energy generation · CPC title

• H02J3/003

  Load forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future load demand · CPC title

• G05B13/04

  involving the use of models or simulators · CPC title

• G06Q50/06 Primary

  Energy or water supply · CPC title

• Y02P80/14

  District level solutions, i.e. local energy networks · CPC title