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Behavior and information model to yield more accurate probability of successful outcome
US8996426B2 · US · B2
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Publication number | US-8996426-B2 |
| Application number | US-201113039202-A |
| Country | US |
| Kind code | B2 |
| Filing date | Mar 2, 2011 |
| Priority date | Mar 2, 2011 |
| Publication date | Mar 31, 2015 |
| Grant date | Mar 31, 2015 |
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Abstract
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A report indicating a user-reported probability of a successful outcome is received. A behavior and information model is estimated based on the report. The behavior and information model includes a behavior model component having a bias parameter and a consistency parameter. The behavior and information model includes an information model component having a first user-believed probability of a successful outcome and a second user-believed probability of a successful outcome. The behavior and information model is used to yield a model-determined probability of a successful outcome that more accurately reflects a probability of a successful outcome than the user-reported probability of a successful outcome does.
First claim
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We claim: 1. A method comprising: receiving, by a processor, a report indicating a user-reported numeric probability of a successful outcome; estimating, by the processor, a behavior and information model based on the report, the behavior and information model including a behavior model component having a bias parameter indicating user bias in providing the user-reported numeric probability and a consistency parameter indicating user consistency in providing the user-reported nu…
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Frequently asked questions
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- What does patent US8996426B2 cover?
- A report indicating a user-reported probability of a successful outcome is received. A behavior and information model is estimated based on the report. The behavior and information model includes a behavior model component having a bias parameter and a consistency parameter. The behavior and information model includes an information model component having a first user-believed probability of a …
- Who is the assignee on this patent?
- Chen Kay-Yut, Santos Cipriano A, Diaz Maria Teresa Gonzalez, and 4 more
- What technology area does this patent fall under?
- Primary CPC classification G06N7/01. Mapped technology areas include Physics.
- When was this patent published?
- Publication date Tue Mar 31 2015 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) (B2). Legal status and post-grant events are not shown on this page.
- What related patents are in patentsdb?
- We list 8 related publications on this page (citations in our corpus or others sharing the same primary CPC).