Gas turbine failure prediction utilizing supervised learning methodologies
US-2017308801-A1 · Oct 26, 2017 · US
US10223175B2 · US · B2
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Publication number | US-10223175-B2 |
| Application number | US-201615289328-A |
| Country | US |
| Kind code | B2 |
| Filing date | Oct 10, 2016 |
| Priority date | Oct 10, 2016 |
| Publication date | Mar 5, 2019 |
| Grant date | Mar 5, 2019 |
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A method, system, and/or computer program product modify a hardware device based on a time series of data. One or more processors standardize a time series of data received from sensors that are monitoring a hardware device. The processor(s) determine a time delta that measures how long a disruption in the time series lingers after an event that is detected by the sensors, and use the time delta to establish time ranges before, during and after each event. The processor(s) determine which events represented by the time series of data are significant, and then reduce a number of significant events described by the time series of data to a predefined level by removing events that have tags not found associated with other events in the time series of data to generate a modified time series of data, which is used to modify the hardware device.
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What is claimed is: 1. A computer program product comprising one or more computer readable storage mediums, and program instructions stored on at least one of the one or more computer readable storage mediums, the stored program instructions comprising: program instructions to standardize a time series of data received from sensors that are monitoring a hardware device; program instructions to determine a time delta that measures how long a disruption in the time series of data lingers after an event that is detected by the sensors; program instructions to use the time delta to establish time ranges before, during and after each event; program instructions to determine which events represented by the time series of data are significant by comparing means and trends of time sub-series corresponding to the time ranges before, during and after each event; program instructions to generate a modified time series of data by reducing a number of significant events described by the time series of data by removing events that have tags not found associated with other events in the time series of data; and program instructions to modify the hardware device based on the modified time series of data. 2. The computer program product of claim 1 , wherein a time-distance decay parameter D for determining how long the disruption lasts is derived by applying an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) algorithm to the modified time series of data. 3. The computer program product of claim 1 , further comprising: program instructions to generate a modified time series data graph from the modified time series of data; and program instructions to apply a time series smoother to the modified time series data graph, wherein the time series smoother is derived by applying an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) algorithm to the time series data graph. 4. The computer program product of claim 1 , wherein the hardware device is a manufacturing device, and wherein the computer program product further comprises: program instructions to generate a modified time series data graph from the modified time series of data, wherein a common feature in each event depicted in the modified time series graph causes the manufacturing device to introduce a defect into a physical product that is constructed by the manufacturing device. 5. The computer program product of claim 1 , wherein the hardware device is a computer, and wherein the computer program product further comprises: program instructions to generate a modified time series data graph from the modified time series of data, wherein a common feature in each event depicted in the modified time series graph is a result of a hardware defect in the computer. 6. The computer program product of claim 1 , wherein the hardware device is a computer, and wherein the computer program product further comprises: program instructions to generate a modified time series data graph from the modified time series of data, wherein a common feature in each event depicted in the modified time series graph is a result of a software defect in the computer. 7. The computer program product of claim 1 , wherein the hardware device is a storage device, and wherein the computer program product further comprises: program instructions to generate a modified time series data graph from the modified time series of data, wherein a common feature in each event depicted in the modified time series graph is caused by a defect in a controller of the storage device. 8. The computer program product of claim 1 , wherein the program instructions are provided as a service in a cloud environment. 9. The computer program product of claim 1 , wherein the hardware device is a pressure vessel, wherein the time series of data is a first time series of data from the sensors that are monitoring the pressure vessel during a first time period, and wherein the stored program instructions further comprise: program instructions to compare the first time series of data to a second time series of data, wherein the second time series of data is from the sensors monitoring the pressure vessel during a second time period; program instructions to determine that the first time series of data and the second time series of data describe values of average pressures in the pressure vessel that match within a first statistical limit; program instructions to determine that the first time series of data and the second time series of data describe values of pressure increases in the pressure vessel that match within a second statistical limit; and program instructions to, in response to determining that the first time series of data and the second time series of data describe values of average pressures in the pressure vessel that match within a first statistical limit, and in response to determining that the first time series of data and the second time series of data describe values of pressure increases in the pressure vessel that match within a second statistical limit, determine that a cause of a spike in pressure in the pressure vessel is being caused by an event that is described by the first time series of data and the second time series of data. 10. The computer program product of claim 1 , wherein the time series of data is a first time series of data from the sensors that are monitoring the hardware device during a first time period, and wherein the stored program instructions further comprise: program instructions to compare the first time series of data to a second time series of data and a third time series of data, wherein the second time series of data is from the sensors monitoring the hardware device during a second time period, and wherein the third time series of data is from the sensors monitoring the hardware device during a third time period; program instructions to determine that the first time series of data and the second time series of data share more event tags than the first time series of data and the third series of data; and program instructions to, in response to determining that the first time series of data and the second time series of data share more event tags than the first time series of data and the third series of data, determine that events described in shared event tags in the first time series of data and the second time series of data caused a fault in the hardware device, wherein the fault in the hardware device caused a disruption in the first time series of data. 11. The computer program product of claim 1 , wherein the hardware device is a pressure vessel, and wherein the stored program instructions further comprise: program instructions to adjust a pressure relief valve on the pressure vessel based on the modified time series of data, wherein adjusting the pressure relief valve causes the pressure relief valve to open while pressure in the pressure vessel is increased after a spike in pressure in the pressure vessel. 12. A computer system comprising one or more processors, one or more computer readable memories, and one or more computer readable storage mediums, and program instructions stored on at least one of the one or more computer readable storage mediums for execution by at least one of the one or more processors via at least one of the one or more computer readable memories, the stored program instructions comprising: program instructions to standardize a time series of data received from sensors that are monitoring a hardware device; program instructions to determine a time delta that measures how long a disruption in the time series lingers after an event that is detected by the sensors; program instructions to use the time delt
involving deadlines, e.g. rate based, periodic · CPC title
Event management; Broadcasting; Multicasting; Notifications · CPC title
Event-based monitoring · CPC title
Error or fault detection not based on redundancy (power supply failures G06F1/30; network fault management H04L41/06) · CPC title
the processing taking place on a specific hardware platform or in a specific software environment · CPC title
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